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No-vig calculator

Remove the margin from two-way or three-way prices to see the fair odds, the fair chance of each outcome and the margin.

Read as American odds: −110

Read as American odds: −110

Margin 4.8%: the prices add up to 104.8%.

Margin (overround)
4.76%
Hold
4.55%
Offered and fair prices
OutcomeImpliedFair chanceFair price
Outcome 152.4%50.0%+1002.001/1
Outcome 252.4%50.0%+1002.001/1

The fair price spreads the margin across the outcomes in proportion to their implied probabilities.

How it works

Every sportsbook price carries a margin, also called the vig, juice or overround. Turn each price into the probability it implies and the probabilities add up to more than 100%: the excess is the margin.

Removing it means scaling each implied probability down so they add up to exactly 100%. Each scaled probability is a fair chance, and one divided by it is the fair price. This is the proportional method, the one the odds boards use for their fair column.

Enter every outcome of one market: both sides of a moneyline, spread or total, or home, draw and away in soccer. Prices from one book give that book’s margin; the best prices from several books give the margin left after comparing.

Worked example

A two-way market at −110 on both sides, the usual price on a point spread.

  1. −110 is 1.909 in decimal odds, an implied probability of 1 / 1.909 = 52.38%.
  2. Both sides together come to 104.76%. The 4.76% over 100% is the margin (the overround).
  3. Divide each side by the total: 52.38% / 104.76% = 50.00%, a fair chance for each side.
  4. The fair price is 1 / 0.5 = 2.00 (+100, evens).

Questions

What does no-vig mean?

A no-vig price is the price with the sportsbook’s margin removed, so the outcomes’ probabilities add up to exactly 100%. It is also called the fair price.

Is the overround the same as the hold?

No. The overround is how far the implied probabilities go over 100% (4.76% at −110 / −110). The hold is the share of all money staked that the book keeps if both sides are backed in proportion (4.55% at −110 / −110).

Why do I need every outcome?

The margin is spread across all outcomes of a market. With one side only there is nothing to compare it with, so no fair price can be worked out.

What if the prices add up to under 100%?

Then there is no margin to remove, which happens when prices come from different books. The calculator still shows the fair chances, which add up to 100%.

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